Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 46.277753 53.468348 60.894297 69.099284 77.875652 86.949418 97.007756
2026-02-08 35.134768 45.232827 56.231457 68.943757 83.087755 98.214228 115.492314
2026-02-15 28.083381 39.540440 52.557175 68.110641 85.896430 105.347772 127.991481
2026-02-22 23.760476 36.269248 51.012766 69.117698 90.271681 113.801937 141.578936
2026-03-01 20.533959 33.834153 50.046678 70.435052 94.691087 122.046907 154.700765
2026-03-08 16.880861 30.389646 47.487922 69.542157 96.271651 126.836554 163.720865
2026-03-15 13.571226 26.969387 44.626948 67.998129 96.844909 130.269958 171.020255
2026-03-22 12.497693 26.509869 45.458905 70.937766 102.727842 139.847321 185.367164
2026-03-29 11.075877 25.362353 45.258356 72.477897 106.836590 147.282527 197.185900
2026-04-05 9.148211 23.194847 43.508632 71.897846 108.234870 151.420338 205.083675
2026-04-12 7.501571 21.232498 41.879738 71.346917 109.569494 155.405749 212.739562
2026-04-19 6.349674 19.926131 41.069018 71.791595 112.088666 160.770628 221.990732
2026-04-26 5.061599 18.175950 39.509345 71.177768 113.253371 164.512357 229.362322
2026-05-03 4.073987 16.801961 38.403014 71.107100 115.064101 169.013910 237.628209
2026-05-10 3.088717 15.191394 36.796600 70.243895 115.775324 172.107974 244.157484
2026-05-17 2.569831 14.489079 36.564555 71.270962 118.924201 178.198177 254.291957
2026-05-24 2.165986 13.963219 36.572317 72.610012 122.464973 184.765592 265.001054
2026-05-31 1.529823 12.598735 35.074918 71.702170 122.975935 187.512113 271.036979
2026-06-07 0.958482 11.092829 33.191764 70.131900 122.531195 189.006943 275.503597
2026-06-14 0.900180 11.309583 34.368700 73.121242 128.241914 198.283327 289.518824
2026-06-21 0.729293 11.024118 34.608106 74.687039 132.015776 205.104412 300.520756
2026-06-28 0.442893 10.027539 33.456868 74.097350 132.821733 208.133188 306.839224
2026-07-05 0.237003 9.108059 32.361462 73.537235 133.630214 211.139137 313.110431